🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live
📊 Daily Predictions 📈 Model Performance 🏆 Stanley Cup Odds ⚡ Live Win Probability

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
CGY: 50.6%
EDM: 49.4%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.43
EDM: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 61%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatCGYEDM
Season SV%0.9010.906
Last 5 SV%0.9040.837
SV% vs Opponent0.9050.840
GAA2.822.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs EDM: 2-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-02-04CGY 4 - 3 EDMCGYEDM
2025-12-27CGY 3 - 2 EDMCGYCGY
2025-12-23EDM 5 - 1 CGYEDMEDM
2025-10-08EDM 3 - 4 CGYCGYCGY
2025-03-29EDM 3 - 2 CGYEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
107:00CGYGoal
108:36CGYGoal
203:28CGYGoal
312:31CGYGoal
315:23CGYGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.1