San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-12-27 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 60.4%
SJS: 39.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.29
SJS: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | VAN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.842 | 0.921 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | SJS 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | SJS |
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2 - 5 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-11-28 | SJS 3 - 2 VAN | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-04-14 | VAN 2 - 1 SJS | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:11 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:36 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:20 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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