San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-12-27 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 63.0%
SJS: 37.0%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.64
SJS: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | VAN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.500 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2 - 5 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-11-28 | SJS 3 - 2 VAN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-04-14 | VAN 2 - 1 SJS | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-02-06 | SJS 1 - 2 VAN | VAN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 06:11 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:20 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 10:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:36 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7