Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-12-27 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 6 Colorado Avalanche (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 50.1%

COL: 49.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.01

COL: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VGK at home vs COL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2025-12-27	VGK 5 - 6 COL	COL	VGK
2025-10-31	VGK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-08	COL 3 - 2 VGK	COL	COL
2024-11-27	COL 2 - 1 VGK	COL	COL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:43	VGK	Goal
2	00:34	VGK	Goal
2	05:19	VGK	Goal
2	10:27	VGK	Goal
2	11:36	VGK	Goal
2	12:05	VGK	Goal
3	03:52	VGK	Goal
3	08:21	VGK	Goal
3	16:00	VGK	Goal
3	18:03	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal
5	00:00	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5