Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-12-28 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 53.3%
PIT: 46.7%
Expected Goals
CHI: 1.79
PIT: 3.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.556 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | PIT 6 - 2 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-28 | CHI 3 - 7 PIT | PIT | CHI |
| 2025-04-08 | PIT 5 - 0 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-06 | CHI 3 - 1 PIT | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-02-15 | CHI 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:03 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 01:38 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:50 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 1.8 - 3.6