Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-12-28 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 31.1%
PIT: 68.9%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.45
PIT: 3.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.556 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | PIT 6 - 2 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-28 | CHI 3 - 7 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-08 | PIT 5 - 0 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-06 | CHI 3 - 1 PIT | CHI | PIT |
| 2024-02-15 | CHI 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:38 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 07:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 08:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:03 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 10:50 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:17 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 7 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.5 - 3.7
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