Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

FLA: 51.1%

WSH: 48.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.41

WSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	2	1.11
1	WSH	17	2	1.76
2	FLA	17	3	1.68
2	WSH	18	1	1.37
3	FLA	15	1	1.30
3	WSH	8	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1