New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 64.4%
NYR: 35.6%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.61
NYR: 1.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 41% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0 - 2 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3 - 2 NYR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | CAR |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | NYR |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7 - 3 NYR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:00 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:11 | CAR | Goal |
| 4 | 04:47 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.6 - 1.8