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Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
WPG: 54.5%
EDM: 45.5%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.22
EDM: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatWPGEDM
Season SV%0.9070.906
Last 5 SV%0.8670.837
SV% vs Opponent0.880—
GAA2.512.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-08WPG 3 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-29WPG 1 - 3 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-06EDM 6 - 2 WPGEDMEDM
2025-04-13WPG 1 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-03-20EDM 3 - 4 WPGWPGEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
208:00EDMGoal
212:49EDMGoal
305:46EDMGoal
318:37EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1