Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.4%

EDM: 49.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.92

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	19	0	1.44
1	EDM	12	0	0.57
2	WPG	17	0	1.27
2	EDM	9	0	1.15
3	WPG	27	1	1.61
3	EDM	15	2	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1