Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 56.6%
BUF: 43.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.23
BUF: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | STL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.889 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
| 2024-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4 - 3 STL | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:19 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 05:08 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:09 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:17 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:44 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1