Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-12-29 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

STL: 45.1%

BUF: 54.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.82

BUF: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-06	BUF 0 - 3 STL	STL	BUF
2024-12-29	STL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-11-14	BUF 4 - 3 STL	BUF	BUF
2024-02-10	BUF 1 - 3 STL	STL	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.50
1	BUF	12	0	0.49
2	STL	9	0	0.65
2	BUF	19	1	1.54
3	STL	7	0	0.40
3	BUF	21	1	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2