San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-12-29 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 61.8%
SJS: 38.2%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.55
SJS: 2.14
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | ANA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.816 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs SJS: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | ANA 6 - 1 SJS | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-01 | SJS 4 - 3 ANA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-12-29 | ANA 4 - 5 SJS | SJS | ANA |
| 2025-10-11 | SJS 6 - 7 ANA | ANA | SJS |
| 2025-04-01 | ANA 4 - 3 SJS | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 15:02 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:12 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:30 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 12:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:26 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:07 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:47 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:58 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.1
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