🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2025-26 Season Live
📊 Daily Predictions 📈 Model Performance 🏆 Stanley Cup Odds ⚡ Live Win Probability

New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
TOR: 48.1%
NJD: 51.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 2.96
NJD: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 25%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
StatTORNJD
Season SV%0.9140.884
Last 5 SV%0.8630.873
SV% vs Opponent1.0000.893
GAA2.743.32
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 11% • TOR at home vs NJD: 2-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-04NJD 4 - 3 TORNJDNJD
2025-12-30TOR 4 - 0 NJDTORNJD
2025-10-21TOR 2 - 5 NJDNJDTOR
2025-01-16TOR 4 - 3 NJDTORNJD
2024-12-10NJD 1 - 2 TORTORNJD

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
114:21TORGoal
214:24TORGoal
306:35TORGoal
317:01TORGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 0 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9