Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-12-30 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 60.7%
MTL: 39.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.74
MTL: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | FLA | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.737 | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs MTL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | MTL 6 - 2 FLA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-30 | FLA 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-04-01 | MTL 3 - 2 FLA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-30 | FLA 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-03-15 | MTL 3 - 1 FLA | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | FLA | Goal |
| 4 | 03:24 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2