Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 48.3%

MTL: 51.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.98

MTL: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs MTL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.65
1	MTL	13	2	1.27
2	FLA	11	1	0.90
2	MTL	15	0	0.88
3	FLA	14	1	1.11
3	MTL	15	1	1.08
4	FLA	2	0	0.23
4	MTL	4	1	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0