Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-12-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PIT: 60.8%

CAR: 39.2%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.17

CAR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	22	1	1.66
1	CAR	17	0	0.90
2	PIT	14	0	0.84
2	CAR	12	0	0.54
3	PIT	9	0	0.48
3	CAR	13	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8