New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-12-30 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 New York Islanders (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 52.0%
NYI: 48.0%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.65
NYI: 3.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CHI | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | CHI 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | CHI |
| 2024-12-15 | CHI 5 - 3 NYI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-12-12 | NYI 5 - 4 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-02 | NYI 2 - 1 CHI | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-01-19 | CHI 4 - 3 NYI | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 02:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:57 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:31 | NYI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | CHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 3.7