Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 61.1%

NSH: 38.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.56

NSH: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	0.88
1	NSH	14	0	0.83
2	VGK	7	0	0.43
2	NSH	13	1	0.93
3	VGK	28	1	1.85
3	NSH	8	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9