Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 44.1%

MIN: 55.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.07

MIN: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs MIN: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.59
1	MIN	12	0	0.63
2	SJS	12	0	0.78
2	MIN	14	1	1.17
3	SJS	13	0	0.54
3	MIN	12	0	0.61
4	SJS	3	0	0.19
4	MIN	4	0	0.31
5	SJS	2	2	1.61
5	MIN	2	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5