Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 52.4%

BUF: 47.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.55

BUF: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 61%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	BUF 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	BUF
2025-12-31	DAL 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	DAL
2024-12-31	DAL 4 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL
2024-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DAL	BUF	BUF
2024-04-09	DAL 3 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	00:15	DAL	Goal
2	07:44	DAL	Goal
2	17:05	BUF	Goal
3	09:21	BUF	Goal
3	11:35	BUF	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1