St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

COL: 76.5%

STL: 23.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.14

STL: 2.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs STL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	23	2	1.64
1	STL	8	0	0.60
2	COL	19	1	1.19
2	STL	5	0	0.29
3	COL	13	0	0.72
3	STL	8	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 4.1 - 2.1