Philadelphia Flyers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-12-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 61.7%
PHI: 38.3%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.33
PHI: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | CGY | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | CGY 5 - 1 PHI | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-02 | PHI 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | PHI |
| 2025-03-04 | PHI 3 - 6 CGY | CGY | PHI |
| 2024-10-12 | CGY 6 - 3 PHI | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-01-06 | PHI 3 - 2 CGY | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:30 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 03:08 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 08:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 12:03 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 17:52 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 09:37 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 5 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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