Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 51.0%

BOS: 49.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.25

BOS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	EDM 2 - 6 BOS	BOS	EDM
2025-12-18	BOS 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	BOS
2025-01-07	BOS 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-19	EDM 3 - 2 BOS	EDM	EDM
2024-03-05	BOS 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	21	2	2.04
1	BOS	15	0	0.67
2	EDM	11	1	0.97
2	BOS	15	0	0.78
3	EDM	14	1	1.23
3	BOS	11	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0