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Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 53.1%
BOS: 46.9%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.22
BOS: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
StatEDMBOS
Season SV%0.9060.903
Last 5 SV%0.8370.904
SV% vs Opponent0.9230.918
GAA2.732.84
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-31EDM 2 - 6 BOSBOSEDM
2025-12-18BOS 1 - 3 EDMEDMEDM
2025-01-07BOS 0 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2024-12-19EDM 3 - 2 BOSEDMEDM
2024-03-05BOS 1 - 2 EDMEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
107:28BOSGoal
118:13BOSGoal
119:19BOSGoal
207:05BOSGoal
218:19BOSGoal
304:20BOSGoal
307:22BOSGoal
314:34BOSGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9