Utah Hockey Club at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 7 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 45.0%

UTA: 55.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.07

UTA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	NYI	UTA
Season SV%	0.909	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.46	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	David Rittich	21	14	7	66.7%	2.59	2	-4.41
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	22	20	2	90.9%	2.22	0	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	NYI 2 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-14	UTA 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	UTA
2025-01-11	UTA 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	UTA
2024-10-10	NYI 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.81
1	UTA	15	1	0.86
2	NYI	14	0	1.10
2	UTA	12	0	0.87
3	NYI	7	0	0.31
3	UTA	12	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown