Utah Hockey Club at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-01-01 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 58.6%
UTA: 41.4%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.17
UTA: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | NYI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.884 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • NYI at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | NYI 2 - 7 UTA | UTA | NYI |
| 2025-11-14 | UTA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2025-01-11 | UTA 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | UTA |
| 2024-10-10 | NYI 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:19 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:20 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:35 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:36 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:55 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:54 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:48 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:41 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:52 | UTA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 7 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8