Utah Hockey Club at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-01 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 7 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

NYI: 38.8%

UTA: 61.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.70

UTA: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	NYI 2 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-14	UTA 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	UTA
2025-01-11	UTA 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	UTA
2024-10-10	NYI 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	14	0	0.81
1	UTA	15	1	0.86
2	NYI	14	0	1.10
2	UTA	12	0	0.87
3	NYI	7	0	0.31
3	UTA	12	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 7 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6