Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-01-01 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 62.0%
WPG: 38.0%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.59
WPG: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | TOR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.765 | 0.892 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | WPG 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | WPG |
| 2026-01-01 | TOR 6 - 5 WPG | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-12-23 | TOR 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | TOR |
| 2024-10-28 | WPG 4 - 6 TOR | TOR | WPG |
| 2024-01-27 | WPG 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:38 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 14:09 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 11:04 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:24 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 02:11 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 01:34 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:13 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 06:30 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 5 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8