Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-01 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 58.5%
DET: 41.5%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.91
DET: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PIT | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.884 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PIT at home vs DET: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | PIT 5 - 1 DET | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4 - 3 DET | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4 - 2 PIT | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-13 | PIT 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:08 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 05:46 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:46 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:01 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:51 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:02 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 00:58 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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