Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-01 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 65.1%

MTL: 34.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.66

MTL: 3.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	2	0.96
1	MTL	9	0	0.50
2	CAR	13	0	1.16
2	MTL	14	1	1.92
3	CAR	12	2	1.24
3	MTL	12	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.7 - 3.9