Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-01-01 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 70.8%
MTL: 29.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.03
MTL: 2.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.727 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CAR at home vs MTL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:06 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:47 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:19 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:51 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:01 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:23 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:20 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:00 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 4.0 - 2.3
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