CAR vs MTL - 2026-01-01
2026-01-01 • Lenovo Center
CAR 5 - 7 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 68.8%
MTL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 2.85
MTL: 2.36
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Frederik Andersen - 6-10-3 | 0.863 SV% | 3.37 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:06 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:47 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:19 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:51 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:54 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:01 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:23 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:20 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:00 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
CAR 5 - 7 MTL
Expected: 2.9 - 2.4