Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-01 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

CHI: 61.9%

DAL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.23

DAL: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	1	1.20
1	DAL	9	0	1.08
2	CHI	15	2	1.50
2	DAL	15	0	0.84
3	CHI	9	2	1.43
3	DAL	13	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.6