Nashville Predators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 58.0%

NSH: 42.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.14

NSH: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	SEA	NSH
Season SV%	0.920	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.32	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	25	24	1	96.0%	2.09	0	1.09
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	19	4	82.6%	2.86	5	-1.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SEA at home vs NSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	NSH 3 - 1 SEA	NSH	NSH
2026-03-10	SEA 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-01	SEA 4 - 1 NSH	SEA	SEA
2025-03-06	NSH 5 - 3 SEA	NSH	NSH
2024-11-20	SEA 3 - 0 NSH	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	1.00
1	NSH	9	0	0.27
2	SEA	9	1	0.43
2	NSH	15	0	0.89
3	SEA	9	4	1.42
3	NSH	19	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown