New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-01-02 • loanDepot park

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 58.4%

NYR: 41.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.22

NYR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	1	0.93
1	NYR	9	0	0.51
2	FLA	24	0	1.15
2	NYR	11	0	0.82
3	FLA	17	1	1.32
3	NYR	14	2	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2