Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2026-01-02 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 54.0%
MIN: 46.0%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.79
MIN: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | ANA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | MIN 3 - 2 ANA | MIN | ANA |
| 2026-01-02 | ANA 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | ANA |
| 2025-11-15 | MIN 2 - 0 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-15 | MIN 3 - 2 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-12-06 | ANA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:39 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 13:46 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 14:45 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:02 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:27 | MIN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.