Utah Hockey Club at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 47.9%

UTA: 52.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.10

UTA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • NJD at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	NJD 4 - 1 UTA	NJD	UTA
2025-12-19	UTA 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	UTA
2025-03-01	UTA 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	UTA
2024-10-14	NJD 3 - 0 UTA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.87
1	UTA	18	0	1.46
2	NJD	15	3	1.60
2	UTA	12	0	0.42
3	NJD	10	0	0.70
3	UTA	18	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9