Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.7%

BUF: 50.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.15

BUF: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	BUF 5 - 0 CBJ	BUF	CBJ
2026-01-03	CBJ 5 - 1 BUF	CBJ	BUF
2025-10-28	BUF 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-10	CBJ 3 - 2 BUF	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-04	BUF 3 - 2 CBJ	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	16	0	1.31
1	BUF	20	4	2.30
2	CBJ	18	0	1.15
2	BUF	20	0	1.18
3	CBJ	15	3	1.84
3	BUF	26	1	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0