Montreal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-01-03 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 0 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 37.0%
MTL: 63.0%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.74
MTL: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | STL | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.778 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | STL 2 - 0 MTL | STL | MTL |
| 2025-12-07 | MTL 3 - 4 STL | STL | MTL |
| 2025-03-25 | STL 6 - 1 MTL | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-26 | MTL 5 - 2 STL | MTL | STL |
| 2024-02-11 | MTL 2 - 7 STL | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:48 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:13 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 0 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3
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