Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

OTT: 66.9%

WPG: 33.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.88

WPG: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • OTT at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	OTT
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	OTT
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	14	0	1.16
1	WPG	12	0	0.79
2	OTT	11	1	1.09
2	WPG	7	0	0.33
3	OTT	13	2	1.30
3	WPG	19	1	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7