Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 52.7%

COL: 47.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.96

COL: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	CAR
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	2	1.75
1	COL	17	3	2.03
2	CAR	13	2	1.17
2	COL	15	2	1.30
3	CAR	13	0	0.54
3	COL	18	2	2.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2