Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

CGY: 47.5%

NSH: 52.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.16

NSH: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	0	1.05
1	NSH	19	0	1.18
2	CGY	7	0	0.40
2	NSH	20	1	1.21
3	CGY	13	0	0.65
3	NSH	12	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9