Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-01-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 60.7%
NSH: 39.3%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.14
NSH: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | CGY | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CGY 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2025-12-02 | NSH 5 - 1 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-01 | NSH 4 - 2 CGY | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-04 | CGY 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2024-12-10 | NSH 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:56 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 11:19 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 12:52 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 13:41 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 04:08 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 12:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:31 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9