Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 43.5%

BOS: 56.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.94

BOS: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	VAN	BOS
Season SV%	0.885	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	22	19	3	86.4%	3.28	4	0.28
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	34	32	2	94.1%	3.11	0	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	VAN
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.59
1	BOS	15	3	1.83
2	VAN	23	0	1.48
2	BOS	10	0	0.60
3	VAN	19	0	0.94
3	BOS	11	0	0.36
4	VAN	1	0	0.10
4	BOS	4	1	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2