Montreal Canadiens at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-01-04 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 64.4%

MTL: 35.6%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.48

MTL: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DAL at home vs MTL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	DAL 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	DAL
2025-11-13	MTL 0 - 7 DAL	DAL	MTL
2025-01-16	DAL 1 - 3 MTL	MTL	DAL
2025-01-11	MTL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-02-10	MTL 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:42	MTL	Goal
1	13:53	DAL	Goal
2	10:14	DAL	Goal
2	11:59	DAL	Goal
2	18:39	MTL	Goal
3	11:07	DAL	Goal
4	03:40	MTL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7