Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2026-01-04 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 57.3%
PIT: 42.7%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 2.90
PIT: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.866 | 0.818 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2026-01-04 | CBJ 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-11-28 | CBJ 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6 - 3 CBJ | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:38 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 08:48 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 08:21 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 01:50 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 16:51 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 00:47 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 03:28 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 02:22 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1