Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-04 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins (OT)

Win Probability

CBJ: 45.8%

PIT: 54.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.73

PIT: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	19	2	1.67
1	PIT	18	0	0.83
2	CBJ	8	0	0.38
2	PIT	27	0	1.35
3	CBJ	9	2	0.98
3	PIT	20	2	1.66
4	CBJ	1	0	0.07
4	PIT	2	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5