Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-01-04 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 42.9%
COL: 57.1%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.57
COL: 3.68
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | FLA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | FLA 2 - 1 COL | FLA | COL |
| 2025-12-11 | COL 6 - 2 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-06 | COL 3 - 1 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-23 | FLA 4 - 7 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-10 | FLA 4 - 0 COL | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:27 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 11:51 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:12 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.6 - 3.7
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