Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-01-04 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

FLA: 56.5%

COL: 43.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.07

COL: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	FLA 2 - 1 COL	FLA	FLA
2025-12-11	COL 6 - 2 FLA	COL	COL
2025-01-06	COL 3 - 1 FLA	COL	COL
2024-11-23	FLA 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-02-10	FLA 4 - 0 COL	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	1	1.32
1	COL	17	0	0.99
2	FLA	11	0	0.75
2	COL	22	1	1.30
3	FLA	8	0	0.48
3	COL	12	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2