Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-01-04 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 36.4%

CAR: 63.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.18

CAR: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	9	1	0.73
1	CAR	22	1	1.85
2	NJD	9	0	0.62
2	CAR	11	0	0.78
3	NJD	24	0	1.57
3	CAR	8	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.2 - 3.3