Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-01-04 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 50.7%
CAR: 49.3%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.53
CAR: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.866 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | NJD 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2026-01-04 | NJD 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | NJD |
| 2025-10-09 | CAR 6 - 3 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-29 | CAR 5 - 4 NJD | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-27 | NJD 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:34 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 00:51 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:47 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:16 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.5 - 3.2