Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-04 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 44.7%

VGK: 55.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.29

VGK: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs VGK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.22
1	VGK	12	1	0.85
2	CHI	13	0	0.71
2	VGK	11	3	1.27
3	CHI	14	1	1.25
3	VGK	8	1	0.72
4	CHI	2	1	0.35
4	VGK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 4.7

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.3 - 2.5