Utah Hockey Club at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 40.9%

UTA: 59.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.97

UTA: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	NYR 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-22	UTA 3 - 2 NYR	UTA	UTA
2025-01-16	UTA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	UTA
2024-10-12	NYR 5 - 6 UTA	UTA	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.95
1	UTA	19	0	1.32
2	NYR	20	2	1.68
2	UTA	15	0	0.86
3	NYR	9	0	0.49
3	UTA	13	1	1.06
4	NYR	0	0	0.00
4	UTA	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4