Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 47.5%

ANA: 52.5%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.61

ANA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	ANA
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	0	1.11
1	ANA	13	0	0.71
2	WSH	19	0	1.14
2	ANA	22	1	1.32
3	WSH	6	3	1.18
3	ANA	21	1	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0