Anaheim Ducks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 46.0%

ANA: 54.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.23

ANA: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 7.2

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 54%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs ANA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	ANA
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	ANA
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	06:33	ANA	Goal
1	15:56	WSH	Goal
1	18:58	WSH	Goal
2	05:54	WSH	Goal
2	07:30	WSH	Goal
2	08:52	WSH	Goal
2	12:56	WSH	Goal
2	14:12	WSH	Goal
3	09:22	WSH	Goal
3	18:46	WSH	Goal
3	19:18	WSH	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3