Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 62.5%

DET: 37.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.21

DET: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 38%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • OTT at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	OTT
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	07:06	DET	Goal
1	13:51	DET	Goal
1	19:43	DET	Goal
2	07:33	DET	Goal
2	14:10	DET	Goal
2	15:42	DET	Goal
3	06:55	DET	Goal
3	12:53	DET	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9