Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 56.2%

SEA: 43.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.14

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	19	1	1.17
1	SEA	10	1	1.16
2	CGY	26	2	2.33
2	SEA	15	2	1.45
3	CGY	14	0	0.47
3	SEA	12	3	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1