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Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
CGY: 53.1%
SEA: 46.9%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.49
SEA: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 61%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
StatCGYSEA
Season SV%0.9010.903
Last 5 SV%0.9040.854
SV% vs Opponent0.8800.933
GAA2.822.77
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-11SEA 4 - 1 CGYSEASEA
2026-01-05CGY 1 - 5 SEASEACGY
2025-12-18CGY 4 - 2 SEACGYCGY
2025-03-25CGY 4 - 3 SEACGYSEA
2025-02-08CGY 2 - 3 SEASEACGY

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
106:33CGYGoal
202:17CGYGoal
301:57SEAGoal
305:12SEAGoal
317:25SEAGoal
317:39SEAGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 5 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.5 - 3.0