Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-01-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 2 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 54.0%

MIN: 46.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.19

MIN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	LAK	MIN
Season SV%	0.913	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	35	33	2	94.3%	3.57	1	1.57
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	33	29	4	87.9%	4.73	4	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs MIN: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	MIN
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	1	1.04
1	MIN	13	0	0.85
2	LAK	21	0	1.27
2	MIN	11	0	0.65
3	LAK	11	3	2.43
3	MIN	28	1	2.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown