Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

BUF: 65.3%

VAN: 34.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.56

VAN: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	BUF 5 - 3 VAN	BUF	BUF
2025-12-11	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-21	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	VAN
2024-11-29	BUF 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	BUF
2024-03-19	VAN 3 - 2 BUF	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	2	1.25
1	VAN	22	1	1.79
2	BUF	13	1	0.81
2	VAN	15	0	0.65
3	BUF	7	3	0.95
3	VAN	22	3	2.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.4