Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-01-06 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 61.8%
VAN: 38.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.55
VAN: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | BUF | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BUF at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | BUF 5 - 3 VAN | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-11 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2025-01-21 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2024-11-29 | BUF 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | BUF |
| 2024-03-19 | VAN 3 - 2 BUF | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 02:01 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:36 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:16 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 06:13 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8