New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 9 - 0 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 60.9%

NJD: 39.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.24

NJD: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Stat	NYI	NJD
Season SV%	0.910	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.55	3.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	44	44	0	100.0%	3.64	2	3.64
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	24	15	9	62.5%	2.16	1	-6.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	9	0	0.29
1	NJD	17	0	0.95
2	NYI	10	1	1.13
2	NJD	28	2	1.73
3	NYI	10	0	0.74
3	NJD	18	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown