Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 61.3%

ANA: 38.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.54

ANA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	PHI	ANA
Season SV%	0.910	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	18	16	2	88.9%	2.16	0	0.16
ANA	Lukas Dostal	39	34	5	87.2%	4.68	3	-0.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • PHI at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	ANA 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2026-01-06	PHI 5 - 2 ANA	PHI	PHI
2025-01-11	PHI 6 - 0 ANA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-28	ANA 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-11-10	ANA 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	21	0	1.60
1	ANA	11	0	0.84
2	PHI	23	2	1.92
2	ANA	10	0	0.68
3	PHI	8	1	1.16
3	ANA	13	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown