Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

CAR: 73.9%

DAL: 26.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 5.30

DAL: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	1	1.52
1	DAL	15	2	1.83
2	CAR	17	0	1.12
2	DAL	11	1	0.76
3	CAR	17	3	1.65
3	DAL	13	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 8.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 5.3 - 2.8