Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-01-06 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 61.5%
FLA: 38.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.28
FLA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | TOR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • TOR at home vs FLA: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | FLA | ||
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | TOR |
| 2025-05-16 | FLA 0 - 2 TOR | TOR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:36 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:42 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:38 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9