Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.7%

VGK: 49.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.26

VGK: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 54%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	WPG
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	05:16	WPG	Goal
2	12:04	WPG	Goal
2	19:09	WPG	Goal
3	08:13	WPG	Goal
3	14:56	WPG	Goal
3	15:55	WPG	Goal
4	04:47	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0