Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 49.4%

VGK: 50.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.91

VGK: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	6	0	0.36
1	VGK	6	0	0.31
2	WPG	6	0	0.17
2	VGK	13	0	0.93
3	WPG	8	0	0.54
3	VGK	21	0	1.26
4	WPG	6	1	0.73
4	VGK	6	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3